Who will be the next president of Romania?

Photo: Reuters
Klaus Iohannis ends his last presidential term next year. Even though no one has officially announced their candidature for the presidential elections from the fall of 2024, but influential circles in Bucharest are all ready discussing the intention of the external factor to support both Laura Codruța Kovesi, the current European Prosecutor General, and Mircea Geoană, the Deputy Secretary General of NATO. As for the internal factor, it would go to the hands of the current prime minister, Nicolae Ciucă. Political strategists know that the year 2024 cannot be measured by the calipers of 2023. It seems to some that politics is the arrogance of chance; to others, underground machinations give birth to roles. Few feel that there is mathematics behind an election campaign that is more important than the art of compromise. The sovereign’s current is growing not only in Romania but also in many European countries. Shadow conjurers try to fill this volatile space as well. The present continuous confirmed our hypothesis that intelligence structures occupy everything on all fronts.
The case of Georgia Meloni is already known. It landed on the lists of nationalists on automatic pilot, guided by the influential structures of Washington. As Matteo Salvini, the leader of the Lombard League, took it impale It was only one year as deputy prime minister. The examples can go on. In Romania, calculations and recalculations are made. The influential sociologist Mirel Palada conducted a simulation between the potential candidates. He put the Kovesi-Geoana, Ciucă-L. Kovesi, and Marcel Ciolacu-Kovesi By all measures, the prosecutor came out victorious. However, these calculations were made last year. Meanwhile, the war and its dire consequences for the Romanians increased the number of “opponents” against the system. All four are system politicians. Pure-blooded pro-Europeans and careless of the citizen’s agenda. The three parties in the governing coalition are beginning to feel the spiral of silence, which they didn’t take into account. There is a qualified majority among those dissatisfied with the government. The recent general strike of teachers, the protests of young doctors, and the strike of other sectors have exacerbated the anger over the high cost of living. As I predicted, since the entry into Parliament of the party Alliance for Romanian Unit (AUR), George Simion has been the man of the internal system, supported by the reservists of the Romanian Intelligence. The intelligence services woke up from being Europeanists and great sovereignists when they retired. Gold occupies only one place, with the sole purpose of not letting anyone else sit on it. It’s rising in the polls. My prediction is that in the upcoming European parliamentary elections, it will occupy the first place, which will produce a wave in the traditional parties: PNL and PSD. I think that only one of those measured by Palada will be the presidential candidate with a chance of playing in the final. Politics is a wonderful field of surprises. In vain, the external factor is struggling to provide Laura Codruța Kovesi with a vast platform of supporting parties. Tired of his abuses during the DNASRI Binomi, the internal factor does not want it. The Rhine-Danube and the Potomac can join, but Kovesi will not be able to be imposed over the will of the internal factor. As for Mircea Geoană, may he be healthy! He has no support in the PSD, the party from which he left for the high western peaks, and he still has a way to go. He built all sorts of parallel support committees, with no chance of reaching the finals without PSD. As is known, two rounds of presidential elections are held in Romania. What they don’t take into account are the rabbits sent onto the battlefield. They will grind from the electoral dowry of the heavy. Those who know how to send the hottest rabbits also have gratification in votes for the second round. AUR missed a chance to have Călin Georgescu as a candidate, having by far the most consolidated and consistent political programme: water, food, and energy. Now the leaders are looking among the intellectual eminences for one willing to take on the competition, which is not at all light and energy-consuming. Should it be Andrei Marga, Eugen Orlando Teodorovici, or Daniel Funeriu? At the moment, there are only tactical checks without consistency. Liviu Dragnea could have been a credible and vocational candidate for the Romanian sovereigns current, but the justice system that condemned him forbade him this constitutional right to choose and be chosen. He supports the Sovereign Romania Party and former interior minister Carmen Dan, without presidential scope. In any case, even without the fine calibrations of pre-election polls, the AUR candidate will play the final, according to the Iliescu vs. Vadim Tudor model. Who will this be? Remains to be seen. Călin Georgescu has announced since last year that he has prepared a broad coalition of sovereigns parties that will support him. It’s just that the prolonged silence, since the last one was on Monday, reveals a certain frivolity or lack of money. A presidential candidature needs a strong staff, at least ten million euros, and an electoral network. Whoever quickly meets the main conditions has a chance to play in the final. However, there is still the great scare of emotions created in secret laboratories. Only these could impose a format to the liking of the hegemons. Following the challenges of the last elections in Europe, knowing the disastrous consequences of the anti-corruption fight experiment, observing how young people go after progressive loopholes, and creating excitement would be the only chance for Laura Codruța Kovesi to climb on the wave! But let it be created by others. He doesn’t want to risk his extremely well-paid tenure. She will enter the competition only if she is sure to win. My prediction is that none of those clinging to the pre-election map will be “chosen.” Others are measured on turnstiles.
By Marius Ghilezan