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The situation between India and Pakistan has suddenly escalated, with both sides engaging in a tough standoff

Photo: Reuters

The “powder keg” of the India-Pakistan conflict has been reignited. On April 22nd, a particularly serious attack targeting civilians occurred in the town of Pahalgam in Indian-administered Kashmir, resulting in at least 26 deaths and multiple injuries. This incident promptly triggered intense confrontations between India and Pakistan, leading to a sharp escalation of tensions between the two countries. After the attack, India quickly pointed the finger at Pakistan. Although no evidence was released, India announced a series of retaliatory measures on the 23rd. India decided to suspend the implementation of the 1960 Indus Waters Treaty, cutting off water supply to Pakistan. This move has not occurred during any previous India-Pakistan wars. India also closed the only land border between the two countries, cutting off all transportation. India also canceled the special visa policy and prohibited Pakistani personnel from entering the country. Indian citizens who had been in Pakistan were required to leave within 48 hours. India declared that the military attaché of the Pakistani embassy in India was an “unwelcome person” and ordered him to leave within one week. At the same time, all military attachés of the Pakistani embassy in India were withdrawn, reducing the number of embassy staff from 55 to 30. On the 24th, India further announced that it would revoke the valid visas of all Pakistani citizens as of July 27th and suspend visa services.

Pakistan responded forcefully the next day. After an emergency meeting of the National Security Council, Pakistan announced the closure of its airspace, prohibiting all flights of Indian airlines from passing through; it also suspended all trade with India; it suspended and canceled some visa waivers for Indian citizens, requiring those holding such visas to leave Pakistan within 48 hours; it declared that some Indian military advisors in Pakistan were “unwelcome persons” and ordered them to leave within one week, and limited the size of the Indian High Commission in Pakistan.
Pakistan’s Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Dar demanded that India provide evidence of Pakistan’s support for terrorism, emphasizing that the Pakistani armed forces have been prepared for a response if India cuts off water supplies. Pakistan’s Defense Minister Asif stated that India and Pakistan are engaged in a low-intensity war and that if India escalates, Pakistan is fully prepared.
The incident has drawn great attention from the international community. UN Secretary-General António Guterres, US President Donald Trump, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and others have strongly condemned the attack. However, this conflict has further exacerbated the already tense relations between India and Pakistan. Historically, the Pulwama terrorist attack in 2019 triggered a serious military standoff between India and Pakistan. Analyses suggest that India’s current retaliatory measures are mostly non-military, reflecting its caution towards a full-scale conflict, but diplomatic isolation and economic pressure may become the norm.
Experts believe that this attack was triggered by the long-standing contradictions in Kashmir. It is not excluded that India may take advantage of the situation to further deteriorate the relations between the two countries, bringing more uncertainties to regional security.
By Yuan Lei

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