The European “patriots” will win the European Parliament elections, but they will not govern Europe

Sovereignty suffers not only from an identity crisis in Europe, but also from genuine leaders, which is why the opponents of the patriotic parties unfairly call them extremists. Influenced by the fulminant return of Donald Trump and the consolidation of the Great Old Party (GOP), as the Republican Party is also called, representatives of the European establishment fear the rise of nationalist forces. If today in the European Parliament, the group of conservatives and reformists has only 9%, after the upcoming European Parliament elections, it will increase significantly, but not enough to participate in the composition of a new majority. Currently, 62 MEPs have openly declared their sovereign options. There are also a few dozen at the PPE. The Identity and Democracy Group has 59 MEPs. The number of sovereignists will double, according to social research estimates. Together they will be able to reach 220-240 MEPs, i.e. 28-30%, for the first time more than the EPP and S&D, taken separately. Before presenting representative personalities, we should analyze concepts. Is sovereignism a proxy for nationalism? Can a European movement with common goals and intentions be constituted? What separates and what unites the leaders of this new, very vaguely stated ideological trend? Is there a format adaptable to all European countries?

If the movement of 1848 was a clearly nationalist one, for the emancipation and liberation of the peoples, Nazism, a nationalism fanaticized by a murderous anti-Semitism, and post-communism an infused liberalism, here now emerged sovereignism, which everyone scared, not understanding his intentions. The stigmatization of patriotic, not nationalist, parties is part of a campaign to demonize everything that is not part of the progressive universe of the new Europe. Without explaining it clearly, they are claimed from the “Europe of the fatherlands”, a fundamental concept of the construction of the European Union, through the historical understanding between Charles de Gaulle and Konrad Adenauer. If before, in Europe there was a clear divide between socialists and liberals, with the emergence of the new world correctness, the two movements have agglutinated in a bottomless form, rightfully considered a progressive one, which has nothing to do with the fundamental principles of Europe. By abandoning Christian values ​​and liberal traditions, the new ideological mix, globalist in nature and woke-ist in feelings, casts anathemas on the main opponents: the non-aligned, anti-establishment parties.

But don’t we want to see another perspective as well? Other than propaganda? The revolution of 1848 led to the formation of nations. At that time nationalism was a progressive idea. After half a century of imperial domination, the patriots launched the struggle for the emancipation of the peoples, the state representing the aspirations of the nation, according to Woodrow Wilson’s principle “one country, one people.” Following the Paris Peace Conference, most modern states were formed, through a juxtaposition of political geography on the national area, thus emerging geopolitics. States have consolidated over a century. Today’s sovereignty claims that no international/supranational power should limit the authority of the state within its jurisdiction. The fall of the Iron Curtain created a total relaxation from Washington to Paris via London. Before, the fight was going on, especially in America, against the communists. After thirty years, ideological wars return. Today’s fight is between globalism and sovereignty. What is very clearly defined in the “America Great Again” Program is in contrast to the European sovereignist amalgam. Of course, the Republican counterparts on the old continent do not have such a powerful leader as Donald Trump, nor the financial strength of the GOP.

The differences in vision differ from country to country. What’s applicable in France doesn’t catch on in Italy, where Georgia Meloni makes eye contact with Uncle Sam and steps right. The big sovereignist is selling the state’s holdings in many companies, while the progressive Emmanuel Macron is nationalizing the largest public utility company. Who is more sovereign than another? Let’s start from the premise that the sovereignists take power and impose the community executive according to their will! What will they do? Will they give up the prerogatives of power? Will they turn into the water lilies of the Swan Lake or will they play the colonial score even more fondly? Giorgia Meloni’s “Brothers of Italy” were heavily subsidized by the American Deep State, fearing the seemingly sudden rise of Matteo Salvini’s Northern League party. Raised from the foam of the sea, the new figure with the sovereignist label, Meloni, had the role of overshadowing the genuine sovereignists. In the way the Italian government is administered, it is more like the Berlusconi and he helped to raise the Italian Force party, only after ceding the south, geopolitically, to the US.

The French quickly seized on Éric Zemmour, a creation of the French parallel state, to overshadow Jean Marie Le Pen, a politician who learned from his father what doctrine means, but also charisma. Attacked and demonized, she left her place in the leadership of the National Assembly (former National Front) to Jordan Bardella, who managed to raise the electoral percentages far above Macron’s party. French voters will send, in our opinion, the most sovereign MEPs from all the member states of the European Union. Around 35.

Jaroslaw Kaczynski’s party in Poland, PIS, won 47% of the vote in the 2019 European Parliament elections. It won 24 seats. Polls show a deterioration of the electoral form, with a steady decline in the confidence of Poles after last year’s defeat by Donald Tusk’s progressives. The most powerful conservative party in Eastern Europe, with recognized merits in economic development, has fallen into a glossy self-sufficiency. Basically, by banning abortions, he lost 60% of the young electorate and by stubbornly supporting the victory of Ukraine, despite the evidence, the trust of the hard core. His messages were not appropriate.

Not far from Poland, Robert Fico’s Slovakia demonstrated how important it is to seduce the electorate. In last year’s election it was seen that the conservative party led by Fico learned the lesson of the Overton Window well. The country is small and the number of its representatives in the EP will be insignificant. Even if it remains unaffiliated to any political group in the European Parliament, FIDESZ, Viktor Orbán’s party from Hungary, will be in third place, in terms of the number of MEPs with 14 seats. It is the most consolidated anti-establishment party in the EU member states. Belgium, Holland, Austria will increase the number of sovereignists. Not by chance, we left behind the German AFD, a party controlled by the intelligence system. He will take as long as he can. That is, no more than 20%. Romania would have had the chance of sending a significant number of sovereignists, perhaps more than Hungary, if the electoral pool of the patriots had not been so segmented. The AUR patriots party is in trouble because of a trick found by the ruling coalition. The Romanian liberals and social democrats agreed to combine the European parliamentary elections with the local ones, putting pressure on the almost 80% of the mayors and presidents of the County Councils to “push” the lists for the European Parliament. The party led by the young George Simion failed to build a network of candidates with chances in the local elections, it practically has no regional locomotives.

The Romanian Sovereign Bloc has grouped several parties and has more well-known candidates in its panoply. On the turn, through a White Swan type effect, comes a new party, Strong Romania, formation of Romanian entrepreneurs, with an upward dynamic, thanks to the effective leadership of Gabriel Marin, a businessman with great achievements in the IT area . It has the ability to coagulate dissipated energies. In a short period of time, it can produce surprises for an ossified system of power that claims to control even the opposition. The electoral dynamics in the countries of the European Union depend a lot on what happens on the front in Ukraine, on the immigrant crisis and not least – on the US elections. The misfortune of the European conservative parties, which we call patriotic, is that the presidential elections in the USA are after the European parliamentary elections and not before. The trend is upward, but unable to cause a tsunami. Why? Because the European establishment took care to create clones, able to parasitize the sovereign pool, not to mention leaders with painted agendas.

By Marius Ghilezan