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Trump Tower Belgrade: A Controversial Development Unfolds in Serbia

Photo: Reuters/Mr. Jared Kushner

The Trump Organization, which is in partnership with Abu Dhabi developer Eagle Hills and Jared Kushner’s private  equity firm Affinity Partners, has launched a massive real estate endeavor in Belgrade, Serbia. The goal of the project, Trump Tower Belgrade, is to transform the former Yugoslavian Ministry of Defense site into a high-end mixed-use development. The large project comprises 1,500 luxury residential units and a 175-room hotel with the Trump brand. This is an economically and politically pivotal project, with the Serbian government having granted a 99-year lease on the site. Funding for Trump Tower Belgrade has become the subject of analysis across the globe. Affinity Partners, Jared Kushner’s private equity firm has attracted huge investments from sovereign wealth funds, including $2 billion from Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund  (PIF), $1.5 billion from the Qatar Investment Authority, and funding from the United Arab  Emirates. This has enabled Affinity Partners to acquire assets worth $4.6 billion and establish it as a significant player in the global private equity industry. However, the way of getting this funding has been quite difficult. Saudi Arabia’s PIF at first expressed concerns about Affinity Partners, calling it “inexperience” and “excessive fees.” Despite these objections, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman personally stepped  in and, disregarding the advice of the advisory committee, approved the investment. But this intervention has sparked criticism and raised questions of whether some foreign governments are attempting to purchase influence over U.S.  political figures.

Eagle Hills, the lead developer of the project, has a record of delivering large-scale urban transformation projects. Its work on the $12 billion Belgrade Waterfront initiative has already transformed Serbia’s capital and positioned it as a growing force in international business and tourism. Trump Tower Belgrade is, therefore, seen as an extension of this transformation with the addition of another layer of luxury to the city’s evolving skyline.
During Donald Trump’s first term as president, the Trump Organization had adopted a strict policy of no new foreign business dealings in order to avoid potential conflicts of interest.  However, those restrictions were lifted during his second term, thereby enabling projects such as Trump Tower Belgrade to proceed. Critics argue that this change has created new opportunities for foreign entities to influence the formation of U.S. policies.
While the Trump Organization’s ethical guidelines supposedly rule out ‘material transactions with foreign governments,’ loopholes in these policies are exposed by the partnerships involved in this project. This ambiguity has contributed to a broader debate on business and governance interaction during the Trump presidency.
Jared Kushner’s involvement in  the project has only served to further the controversy. As a former senior advisor in the Trump administration, Kushner had significant influence over U.S. foreign policy. Now, as the head of Affinity Partners, he continues to use his political connections to secure financial support from foreign governments.
His reliance on sovereign wealth funds and his close ties to the Trump family have raised questions of conflict of interest. Already, lawmakers in the United States are calling for investigations into whether Kushner’s financial activities amount to ethical violations or  compromises of U.S. foreign policy.
This paper also concludes that the decision to develop this high profile project in Serbia is far from coincidental. Serbia has been seeking to establish stronger ties with the Western  countries with a view to joining the European Union. Such projects as Trump Tower Belgrade are consistent with  the country’s economic development strategy of attracting foreign investment and developing its urban infrastructure.
At the same time, Serbia’s historical ties with Russia complicate its geopolitical positioning. The Trump Tower Belgrade project, therefore, is an effort by the country to find a balance between its western integration aspirations and its traditional relations in the east.
On the one hand, the project is expected to bring economic benefits: job creation, enhancement of the tourism industry, and enhancement of Serbia’s international status. On the other  hand, there are risks associated with the involvement of politically controversial personalities like Donald Trump and Jared Kushner, which  may drag Serbia into the fray over ethics and foreign influence.
The Trump Tower Belgrade project is a  real life example of the blending of business and politics in the modern world. The Trump Organization’s aggressive expansion into the international markets cannot be discussed without considering the impact on public policy.
Critics warn that  dependence on foreign investment, and in particular from politically sensitive sources, is insecure. These business deals may  give foreign entities a perverse control over U.S. leaders so that the integrity of American governance is compromised.
For Serbia, the project is both an opportunity and a danger. On the one hand, the  project is compatible with the country’s economic growth and development strategies and its integration with the western markets.  On the other hand, the project exposes Serbia to additional international scrutiny. The success or failure of the project will determine how easy or hard it will be for Serbia to attract future investments and navigate its complex  political environment.
Trump Tower Belgrade is not only a real estate development project; it is the embodiment of the conflict between business, politics and ethics in the modern society. To the Trump Organization and Affinity Partners, the stakes are not only financial but also reputational and political. To Serbia, the project presents a chance to emerge on the international scene, but also presents risks.
By  Keyeon Fan

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